“Updating Mental Models of Risk”
Disasters are no longer isolated events.
This demands a fundamental change in how we think about and respond to complex risk.
Wealth is often thought of as a source of protection—a form of risk mitigation. Yet the security that money buys can paradoxically amplify certain risks.
- Hazard: beyond extreme weather
- Vulnerability: misjudging the causes of risk susceptibility
- Exposure: the danger of living in the wrong place—or under the wrong system
- Response: why nothing changes after disaster strikes
- A partial path forward: local resilience
A false sense of security can turn hazards into disasters, even in wealthy regions, write ecological-security expert Rod Schoonover, political scientist Daniel Aldrich and Daniel Hoyer, a computational historian and complexity scientist. For example, when officials in Texas disregarded warnings about the vulnerabilities of the state’s sophisticated power grid, storms led to widespread blackouts and even deaths.
Surtil : 