Category: Complexity

• Plan with “value-guided construal”

  When people plan, they do so by constructing a simplified mental representation of a problem that is sufficient to solve it—a process that we refer to as value-guided construal. An ideal, cognitively limited decision-maker should construe a task so as to balance complexity and utility. Preregistered predictions of this model explain people’s awareness, ability to…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-20

  #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• The Why, How, and When of Representations for Complex Systems

  Complex systems, composed at the most basic level of units and their interactions, describe phenomena in a wide variety of domains, from neuroscience to computer science and economics. The wide variety of applications has resulted in two key challenges: the generation of many domain-specific strategies for complex systems analyses that are seldom revisited, and the…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-20

  #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Will it ever happen?

  Evolution of Brains and Computers: The Roads Not Taken – Can machines ever achieve true intelligence? , is a perspective article in entropy by Ricard Solé and Luís F. Seoane, has a great discussion on intelligence. When computers started to become a dominant part of technology around the 1950s, fundamental questions about reliable designs and…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-17

  #Wicked, Active Inference, AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• Metacognition accompanying decision-making

  Decision-making is usually accompanied by metacognition, through which a decision maker monitors uncertainty regarding a decision and may then consequently revise the decision. These metacognitive processes can occur prior to or in the absence of feedback. The neural mechanisms of metacognition remain controversial. A novel “decision–redecision” paradigm to investigate the neural metacognitive processes involved in…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-17

  #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Modeling the Predictive Social Mind

  The social mind is tailored to the problem of predicting the mental states and actions of other people. However, social cognition researchers have only scratched the surface of the predictive social mind. We discuss here a new framework for explaining how people organize social knowledge and use it for social prediction. Specifically, we propose a…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-17

  Biology of Information, Complexity, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #TheInformationLens

• Enriched Environment helps decision

  Inter-Individual Differences in Cognitive Tasks: Focusing on the Shaping of Decision-Making Strategies is a recent publication about the Mouse Gambling Task. It revealed about 30% of healthy mice displaying risk-averse choices while about 20-25% of mice make risk-prone choices. These strategies are accompanied by different brain network mobilization and individual levels of regional -prefrontal and…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-17

  Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence

• Design, Agency and Pragmatic Imagination

  The books “Pragmatic Imagination” and “Design Unbound” from Ann Pandleton-Jullian and JSB ( John Seely Brown) explore to a great detail the need for new creative “imagination” into a practical form. The reasoning builds on the ideas of entanglement, expressed in my previous entry. A great lecture from 2015 is availavle on the video-section of…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-17

  #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Life Ideas, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Enlightement or Entanglement?

  Two great articles build on this idea of the need to get more attention to the connections and relations in between, compared to the specialised detailed view, or to have the multidisciplenary view of entanglement, compared to tradition we learned rom the enlightement. In the 2020 article “Wisdom of stakeholder crowds in complex social–ecological systems“,…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-04

  #stakeholder economy, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Digital Twins: Societies are not machines, & optimization is a too narrow approach

  I already did mention the importance of VVUQ when considering operational digital twins. More elaborated is the work from teh ETH Zurich team (Dirk Helbing & Javier Argota Sánchez-Vaquerizo), Digital Twins: Potentials, Limitations, and Ethical Issues. Rather than aiming for perfect digital twins, a predictable future, and total control, one should use computer simulation technology…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-03

  AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DigitalTwin, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• Collective Intelligence & information pooling or aggregation

  The review article on “Information aggregation and collective intelligence beyond the wisdom of crowds” describes how collective decision-making is a robust behavioural feature of groups for humans and other gregarious animals. Pooling individual information is also fundamental for modern societies, in which digital technologies have exponentially increased the interdependence of individual group members. Cognitive and…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-03

  #Wicked, Active Inference, AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked