Category: Decision Intelligence

• Becoming Aware Through Internal Exploration

  “Becoming Aware Through Internal Exploration: Understanding Psychotherapy on Conceptual and Neurobiological Levels” Becoming aware of previously unrecognized aspects of one’s psychological and behavioral challenges is one of the central mechanisms of positive psychotherapeutic change. Yet the specific neurocognitive processes that underlie new realizations remain poorly understood. What must occur in one’s mind and brain for…

  walterstiers

  2026-08-31

  Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Structure Inference Improves From Childhood to Adulthood

  “Structure Inference in Complex Environments Improves From Childhood to Adulthood” also available on website of Aaron M. Bornstein. Early in development, children can infer latent structure in the world from sparse and ambiguous evidence. Through a process known as structure learning, they extract statistical regularities, construct causal models from those regularities, and use those models…

  walterstiers

  2026-08-31

  #sense-making, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Four faces of information in natural systems

  Ever wonder what “information” really means? Here‘s a new paper, that lays out the multiple ways the term is used in natural science. Instead of arguing for a single valid interpretation, the paper proposes a pluralistic view where rigorous alternatives coexist — each with affordances and limits. The idea of ‘information’ has been instrumental to…

  walterstiers

  2026-08-30

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, consciousness, philosophy, Science

• Mensen zijn complex

  “Mensen zijn complex” Een inleiding in de theorie van complexe dynamische systemen voor de psychologische en pedagogische praktijk; Paul van Geert Boek als download aangeboden door University of Groningen Press en oapen De theorie van complexe dynamische systemen biedt een veelzijdig werkmodel voor praktijkpsychologen en -pedagogen. Ze geeft een denk- en inspiratiekader voor lastige problemen…

  walterstiers

  2026-08-18

  Science, Biology of Information, Neurobiology/psychology, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical, #Wicked, #sense-making

  #ProblemSolvingMind, #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Making sense of wickedness

  “Making sense of wickedness: Directionality heuristics for challenge-led innovation policy” Highlights This article contributes to the burgeoning literature on directionality challenges by introducing directionality heuristics as a lens to conceptualize how policymakers and other stakeholders interpret and respond to problems in challenge-led innovation policy. Our starting point is that the “wickedness” of problems is strongly…

  walterstiers

  2026-08-14

  Complexity, Decision Intelligence, #stakeholder economy, #Wicked, #Cynefin, Policy, #sense-making, Practical Wisdom

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #StakeholderEconomy, #Wicked

• In de wolk of op de grond? – Is AI dan toch intelligent?

  Ik was aangenaam verrast met de volgende uitspraak en de verduidelijking die ze me aanreikte: “Man with head in the clouds and feet on the ground, he very big man.”Niet echt een “quote” of gezegde, maar toch aangehaald om te verwijzen naar de groten der aarde. “Einstein was a giant. His head was in the…

  walterstiers

  2026-08-09

  #sense-making, #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Practical Wisdom, Uncategorized

  #ProblemSolvingMind, #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, nederlands, identiteit

• Holistic understanding of uncertainty

  “Holistic understanding of uncertainty for collaborative andproactive global change decision making” Global change is accelerating and pushing the planet’s ecosystems beyond the range of historical observations, creating increasing uncertainty in future system conditions. Despite general agreement that proactive environmental action is warranted, environmental decision conversations often end by identifying additional data needed to reduce uncertainty…

  walterstiers

  2026-08-07

  Science, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, #stakeholder economy, Life Ideas, Social-Technical, #sense-making

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• Brain rhythms – predictive processing perspective

  “Brain rhythms of depression: A predictive processing perspective” Findings from electroencephalography studies converge on the notion that depression involves disrupted updating of beliefs, wherein positive and corrective information carries too little weight to revise rigid expectations about the self and the world. Across a range of neural signals, the brains of individuals with depression register…

  walterstiers

  2026-08-01

  #sense-making, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, mental-health

• Bullshitting – bullibility

  “Bullshit can be harmful to your health: Bullibility as a precursor to poor decision–making” “Bullfighting in the business arena: Evidence-based strategies for detecting and disposing of organizational bullshit” “When fools have greater influence than liars: testing the insidiousbullshit hypothesis with the illusory truth effect” Bullshitting is characterized by sharing information with little to no regard…

  walterstiers

  2026-07-13

  #sense-making, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Practical Wisdom, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• The Common Good Economy

  “The Common Good Economy. A new compass” Synopsis Our economic system is broken. The climate crisis is accelerating. Inequality is deepening. Public trust is crumbling. Wealth concentrates in fewer hands while governments scramble to fix what markets can’t do, rather than to shape them from the outset. For too long, economics has treated ‘the good’…

  walterstiers

  2026-06-15

  #sense-making, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, economics, economy, philosophy, politics

• To explore or exploit: Individual differences in preschool decision making

  “To explore or exploit: Individual differences in preschool decision making” esearch suggests a pattern of moderate early exploration (shifting from deck to deck) followed by exploitation (consistent choice from advantageous decks) characterizes good decision makers. The main goal of the current study was to use a person centered (latent profile analysis) to explore individual differences…

  walterstiers

  2026-06-10

  Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Cooperation versus social welfare

  “Cooperation versus social welfare” Understanding and promoting cooperative behaviour among self-interested individuals is a critical concern in physical, biological, and social sciences. Numerous foundational mechanisms for the evolution of cooperation have been identified, and these mechanisms have served as the basis for developing tools and interventions designed to sustain and enhance cooperative behaviour. However, since…

  walterstiers

  2026-05-24

  #sense-making, #Sensemaking, Decision Intelligence, Innovation Games, Policy

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Neurocognitive Dynamics: Nonergodicity and Simpson’s paradox

  “Nonergodicity and Simpson’s paradox in neurocognitive dynamics of cognitive control” Nonergodicity and Simpson’s paradox present significant, yet underappreciated challenges in cognitive neuroscience. Leveraging brain imaging and behavioral data from over 4000 individuals and a Bayesian computational model of cognitive dynamics, we investigated brain-behavior relationships underlying cognitive control at both between-subjects and within-subjects levels. Strikingly, brain-behavior…

  walterstiers

  2026-05-12

  Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #Neuroscience, #TheInformationLens, mental-health, Science

• Origins and Evolution of Imagination

  “Origins and Evolution of Imagination, From Australopithecus to Modern-Day Deep Learning” Where does imagination come from? How did it originate, and which organisms are capable of imagination? What deeper connections does imagination share with consciousness, survival, and the very essence of life? Across both scientific literature and public discourse, imagination is invoked to describe a…

  walterstiers

  2026-05-12

  #sense-making, Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, AI, consciousness, philosophy, Science

• The body does not keep the score

  “The body does not keep the score: trauma, predictive coding, and the restoration of metastability” For nearly a decade, the idea that “the body keeps the score” has shaped public and clinical understanding of trauma. It is an enticing metaphor—implying that experience is literally inscribed in flesh, that the body bears the scars of what…

  walterstiers

  2026-04-30

  #sense-making, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens, health, mental-health, Science

• Beyond Belief

  “Beyond Belief: How Evidence Shows What Really Works” The remarkable story of the global movement championing the idea that evidence, not opinions, should guide our decisions. Published by Princeton University Press, April 2026. Today, more and more people around the globe are using scientific evidence to figure out what works—in health, government and business as…

  walterstiers

  2026-04-27

  #sense-making, #Sensemaking, Decision Intelligence, Practical Wisdom, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, philosophy, Science

• Athletes and other Animals

  “Embodied decision making in athletes and other animals” Humans and other animals continuously make embodied decisions about ongoing or pending courses of action. Examples of embodied decisions include a hunting lioness’s decision of which gazelle to chase and a soccer player’s decision of which teammate to pass the ball to. The study of embodied decisions has recently…

  walterstiers

  2026-04-11

  #Wicked, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Social Observations, Decisions, Explore/Exploit

  “Observational learning of exploration-exploitation strategies in bandit tasks” In decision-making scenarios, individuals often face the challenge of balancing between exploring new options and exploiting known ones—a dynamic known as the exploration-exploitation trade-off. In such situations, people frequently have the opportunity to observe others’ actions. Yet little is known about when, how, and from whom individuals…

  walterstiers

  2026-03-26

  #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Practical Wisdom

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, artificial-intelligence

• Has AI Ended Thought Leadership?

  “Has AI Ended Thought Leadership?”   As generative AI and content platforms make it effortless to sound authoritative, organizations are being overwhelmed by polished insight that rarely translates into real change. The growing gap between those who talk about the future of work and those who actually build it has turned expertise into performance, leaving leaders…

  walterstiers

  2026-03-25

  #sense-making, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Innovation Games, Policy, Practical Wisdom, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked, AI, marketing, technology, writing

• From Noise to Music:: Context

  “From Noise to Music: Reframing the Role of Context in Clinical Reasoning” Traditional perspectives on clinical reasoning (CR) have framed it as a content-specific process in which differences in the information stored in a clinician’s mind account for differences in CR performance. The finding that individual clinicians perform differently on cases with the same clinical content…

  walterstiers

  2026-03-21

  #sense-making, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked, health, technology

• Robust Decision-Making Via Free Energy Minimization

  “Robust Decision-Making Via Free Energy Minimization” html, pdf, video, Nature Communications Despite their groundbreaking performance, state-of-the-art autonomous agents can misbehave when training and environmental conditions become inconsistent, with minor mismatches leading to undesirable behaviors or even catastrophic failures. Robustness towards these training/environment ambiguities is a core requirement for intelligent agents and its fulfillment is a…

  walterstiers

  2026-03-11

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, AI, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, artificial-intelligence

• Exploration and Exploitation & Coping Strategy

  “Transition Dynamics Between Exploration and Exploitation Predicts Individual Differences in Coping Strategy” Adaptive decision-making requires balancing exploitation of known rewarding options with exploration of uncertain alternatives, a dilemma also known as the exploration-exploitation tradeoff. While this framework has been widely studied in reinforcement learning research, its relevance to coping, defined as the cognitive and behavioral…

  walterstiers

  2026-03-11

  #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Narcissism: Blunted Error-Related Brain Activity

  “Narcissism Is Associated With Blunted Error-Related Brain Activity” Narcissism is associated with self-enhancement and social antagonism, yet its neural underpinnings, particularly in error processing, remain underexplored. Competing theoretical models, such as the mask model and the metacognitive model, offer conflicting hypotheses regarding how narcissism influences early neural responses to errors. We examine whether grandiose agentic…

  walterstiers

  2026-02-23

  Active Inference, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Inferring to cooperate: Bayesian inferential strategies

  “Inferring to cooperate: Evolutionary games with Bayesian inferential strategies” Strategies for sustaining cooperation and preventing exploitation by selfish agents in repeated games have mostly been restricted to Markovian strategies where the response of an agent depends on the actions in the previous round. Such strategies are characterized by lack of learning.However, learning from accumulated evidence…

  walterstiers

  2026-02-16

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens