Category: Decision Intelligence

• It’s the Biology, Stupid!

  “It’s the biology, stupid! Proxy failures in economic decision making” is a commentary by Pier Luigi Sacco (available here), on a work by Yohan J. John et.al.: “Dead rats, dopamine, performance metrics, and peacock tails: Proxy failure is an inherent risk in goal-oriented systems” (also available on ResearchGate) Where the “Dead rats, … peacock tails”…

  walterstiers

  2024-08-07

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• Insight –> selection of ideas

  “Insight and the selection of ideas” describes the mechanisms underlying Eureka heuristic, explained within an active inference framework.  Perhaps it is no accident that insight moments accompany some of humanity’s most important discoveries in science, medicine, and art. Here we propose that feelings of insight play a central role in (heuristically) selecting an idea from…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-30

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Science

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked, bayesian-inference, decision-making, heuristics, philosophy, psychology

• music and aging | Bayesian inference

  “Understanding music and aging through the lens of Bayesian inference“ Bayesian inference has recently gained momentum in explaining music perception and aging. A fundamental mechanism underlying Bayesian inference is the notion of prediction. This framework could explain how predictions pertaining to musical (melodic, rhythmic, harmonic) structures engender action, emotion, and learning, expanding related concepts of music…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-29

  Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

•  The Edge of Sentience

  “The Edge of Sentience: Risk and Precaution in Humans, Other Animals, and AI.” by Jonathan Birch Can octopuses feel pain and pleasure? What about crabs, shrimps, insects, or spiders? How do we tell whether a person unresponsive after severe brain injury might be suffering? When does a fetus in the womb start to have conscious experiences?…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-29

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked, AI, artificial-intelligence, consciousness, sentience

• Lead with purpose, govern in partnership

  Also by  Professor Mazzucato from the IIPP: “MISSION CRITICAL 01 Statecraft for the 21st century“ This research draws on expert interviews and builds out from the seminal work of author Professor Mariana Mazzucato at the UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose (IIPP). She has established clear criteria for missions (Mazzucato, 2019) and made the case for mission-oriented government (Mazzucato,…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-15

  #sense-making, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, economy, government

• Countries must decide what missions can help direct their economies.

  Industrial strategy is experiencing a renaissance. Getting the details right matter. Mission-oriented industrial strategy needs to be more than words if we want to avoid missions becoming part of the problem, not the solution. This report (Mission-oriented industrial strategy: global insights) is based on research conducted over the past several years, led by Professor Mazzucato and…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-15

  #sense-making, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Policy, Science, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, business, economy, leadership, management

• Market forces are not enough to halt climate change

  A very interesting opinion has been published a while ago in the FT: “Market forces are not enough to halt climate change“ I like to repeat the quote used in the “Nature Anthropocene briefing of July 5“, with following comments:The desire for financial returns will mean that fossil fuels continue to be good investments, thus…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-07

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• When liars are considered honest

  When honesty relies on sincerity rather than accuracy People in liberal democracies value honesty in their politicians and prioritize honesty over ‘delivering the goods’. How can serial liars be considered honest? This conundrum can be approached from a variety of angles. Here we apply the lens of recent theoretical work that has identified distinct subjective…

  walterstiers

  2024-05-24

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Policy, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, honesty, trust, truth

• Shifting attention

  The Internal Dominance over External Attention (IDEA) hypothesis (I referred to earlier) asserts, contrary to the traditional view of attention as being primarily externally oriented, that attention is inherently biased toward internal information. A related work on attention switching has been published: “Shifting attention between perception and working memory“ Most everyday tasks require shifting the…

  walterstiers

  2024-05-24

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Getting Things Right

  The article “Getting Things Right; Diagnose and Design in The Evolution of Community Provisioning Systems” tackle the great questions behind the observation of “Why do some governments, organisations and community leaders seem to get it wrong in confronting a crisis?” Why do others succeed? Is there something to be learned from how the different responses…

  walterstiers

  2024-05-21

  #sense-making, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical, Uncategorized

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, Complexity, Sustainability

• What fails and when?

  “What fails and when? A process view of innovation failure” presents: Research on innovation failure has proliferated lately but with little theoretical attention given to the diversity of the concept. Using process theorizing, the article presents a model and propositions to understand how a firm’s anticipation and value toward failure depends on the type of…

  walterstiers

  2024-05-21

  #stakeholder economy, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Innovation Games, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, innovation

• An Informational Approach to Emergence

  Claudio Gnoli gives an updated view on emergence in “Foundations of Science“ Emergence can be described as a relationship between entities at different levels of organization, that looks especially puzzling at the transitions between the major levels of matter, life, cognition and culture. Indeed, each major level is dependent on the lower one not just…

  walterstiers

  2024-05-21

  #sense-making, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #TheInformationLens, epistemology, ontology

• Participatory Action Research

  Participatory action research (PAR) is an approach to research that prioritizes the value of experiential knowledge for tackling problems caused by unequal and harmful social systems, and for envisioning and implementing alternatives. PAR involves the participation and leadership of those people experiencing issues, who take action to produce emancipatory social change, through conducting systematic research…

  walterstiers

  2024-05-14

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, participatory-action-research, problem-solving

• policymakers: enable individuals

  Social, environmental, political and economic challenges — such as pandemics and epidemics, environmental degradation and community violence — require taking stock of how to promote behaviours that benefit individuals and society at large. Multidisciplinary meta-analyses of the individual and social-structural determinants of behaviour (for example, beliefs and norms, respectively) and the efficacy of behavioural change…

  walterstiers

  2024-05-14

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, behaviour, behaviour-change

• Intelligence: Evolution, Brains and AI – but #6?

  I just finished the marvellous book from Max Bennett: “A Brief History of Intelligence“. As mentioned by the praise: “If you are interested in understanding brains or in building human-like general AI, you should read this book.” Dileep George, DeepMind, Co-Founder of Vicarious AI In the book, a wonderful story is given from the evolution…

  walterstiers

  2024-04-11

  #sense-making, #stakeholder economy, #Wicked, AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Science, Social-Technical, Sustainability, Uncategorized

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens

• Equality is essential for sustainability.

  In following, I resume 3 recent articles on this most valuable topic, related to the survival of our environment, societies and species. Why the world cannot afford the rich Equality is essential for sustainability. The science is clear — people in more equal societies are more trusting and more likely to protect the environment than…

  walterstiers

  2024-03-15

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Decision Intelligence, Innovation Games, Life Ideas, Policy, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, bill-gates, climate-change, economics, economy

• the problem of algorithmic recommendations

  I just want to point out an MIT Technology Review article on three new books warn against turning into the person the algorithm thinks you are “A machine-learning algorithm walks into a bar. The bartender asks: ‘What’ll you have?’ The algorithm says: ‘What’s everyone else having?’” Chet Haase (Google) Software engineer Chet Haase’s joke sums…

  walterstiers

  2024-03-12

  #sense-making, AI, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens, AI, artificial-intelligence, data-science, machine-learning, technology

• Humanity needs a fundamental shift—“a very different civilisation”

  I choose to quote some sentences of the BMJ opinion article Osler’s valediction: how might physicians contribute to the effort to postpone human extinction?This article is written to physicians, but extrapolation to other professions is left to the reader. Historically, physicians have focused on individual patients. The time has come to expand the scope of…

  walterstiers

  2024-03-10

  #sense-making, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical, Sustainability, Uncategorized

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked, empathy, environment, health, healthcare, humanity

• 7 principles of acts of knowing, and how we build resilient knowledge ecosystems.

  Dave Snowden‘s 7 principles of acts of knowing (or knowledge management) are as evergreen and impactful as when they were first shared in one of the early Cynefin articles – Complex Acts of Knowing.

  walterstiers

  2024-02-26

  #Cynefin, #sense-making, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Bayesianism and Wishful Thinking are Compatible

  On the face of it, wishful thinking seems incompatible with the Bayesian brain hypothesis. This is why defenses of Bayesianism have taken an eliminative stance toward wishful thinking, showing that many apparent instances of wishful thinking are not wishful after all. This strategy has succeeded in defeating many challenges to the Bayesian brain hypothesis, with…

  walterstiers

  2024-02-26

  #Sensemaking, AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked, bayes-theorem, bayesian-inference, machine-learning, philosophy, statistics

• The Elephant and the Blind: The Experience of Pure Consciousness

  Thomas Metzinger’s latest book from MIT Press is focused on the experience of “pure awareness” as an investigation of the most basic fundamental nature of consciousness This specific experience, is the most important thing I have ever experienced in my life, as a personal attestation It is available for free here or also as pdf…

  walterstiers

  2024-02-26

  #sense-making, #Wicked, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, awareness, consciousness, god, meditation, spirituality

• Simplifying social learning

  Social learning is complex, but people often seem to navigate social environments with ease. This ability creates a puzzle for traditional accounts of reinforcement learning (RL) that assume people negotiate a tradeoff between easy-but-simple behavior (model-free learning) and complex-but-difficult behavior (e.g., model-based learning). This publication offers a theoretical framework for resolving this puzzle: although social…

  walterstiers

  2024-02-08

  #Sensemaking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, education, learning, mental-health, philosophy, psychology

• Bayesian model: prior–cost

  Sohna and Jazayeri discuss in “Validating model-based Bayesian integration using prior–cost metamers” the two competing views on how humans make decisions under uncertainty. Bayesian decision theory (BDT) posits that humans optimize their behavior by establishing and integrating internal models of past sensory experiences (priors) and decision outcomes (cost functions). An alternative hypothesis posits that decisions…

  walterstiers

  2024-02-02

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Representation of priors and decisions

  The PLOS article by Marshall, Ruesseler, Hunt, O’Reilly “representation of priors and decisions in the human parietal cortex” discusses how both humans and animals actively sample the environment using their sensory organs, far from being passive recipients of sensory information. In rodents, active sampling processes include whisking and sniffing; in primates, the most important and…

  walterstiers

  2024-02-02

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #Neuroscience, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked, articles, memory, philosophy, Science