Category: #Wicked

• Expert Predictions Fail …

  “When expert predictions fail“ examines the opportunities and challenges of expert judgment in the social sciences, scrutinizing the way social scientists make predictions. While social scientists show above-chance accuracy in predicting laboratory-based phenomena, they often struggle to predict real-world societal changes. Most causal models used in social sciences are oversimplified, confuse levels of analysis to which…

  walterstiers

  2024-01-05

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Neurobiology/psychology, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• An New Law Needed?

  On the roles of function and selection in evolving systems - by Michael L. Wong, et al. (2023) Systems of many interacting agents display an increase in diversity, distribution, and/or patterned behavior when numerous configurations of the system are subject to selective pressure. The universe is replete with complex evolving systems, but the existing macroscopic physical laws…

  walterstiers

  2023-12-18

  #sense-making, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #TheInformationLens

• Reactive declined, Proactive selective. How human aggression evolved.

  The feature review in TICS “Evolutionary and neuroendocrine foundations of human aggression” by Amar Sarkar, and Richard Wrangham describes a human behavioural paradox: they are peaceful in many circumstances, but they are also violent and kill conspecifics at high rates. The review describes a social evolutionary theory to resolve this paradox. The theory interprets human…

  walterstiers

  2023-12-12

  #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Life Ideas, Social-Technical

  #Wicked

• Yes, it is an ART; but it leads tot non-decisions

  Anthony Judge 2021 blog on “The art of non-decision-making” identifies 14 aspects of the art of non-decision-making based on experiences serving in, and observing, a range of international organisations. 1. Definitional games: This is the process of defining categories in one way in one document or organizational unit, and then defining them in another way…

  walterstiers

  2023-11-23

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Interoception and Active Inference for mental health

  Interoception refers to the process by which the nervous system senses and integrates signals originating from within the body, providing a momentary mapping of the body’s internal landscape and its relationship to the outside world. Active inference is based on the premise that afferent sensory input to the brain is constantly shaped and modified by…

  walterstiers

  2023-11-17

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• EXplore-versus-EXploit problems

  Trade-offs between producing costly movements for gathering information (‘explore’) and using previously acquired information to achieve a goal (‘exploit’) arise in a wide variety of problems, including foraging, reinforcement learning and sensorimotor control. Determining the optimal balance between exploration and exploitation is computationally intractable, necessitating heuristic solutions. In “Mode switching in organisms for solving explore-versus-exploit…

  walterstiers

  2023-10-31

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #emergence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Conceptual Bootstrapping (human cognition)

  To tackle a hard problem, it is often wise to reuse and recombine existing knowledge. Such an ability to bootstrap enables us to grow rich mental concepts despite limited cognitive resources. This article presents a computational model of conceptual bootstrapping. This model uses a dynamic conceptual repertoire that can cache and later reuse elements of…

  walterstiers

  2023-10-31

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Information Technology, Neurobiology/psychology

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Cognitive distortions in recent decades

  Cognitive distortions are thinking patterns that are strongly associated with internalizing disorders such as depression and anxiety. Historical traces of in millions of books published over the course of the last two centuries in English, Spanish, and German show a pronounced “hockey stick” pattern: Over the past two decades the textual analogs of cognitive distortions…

  walterstiers

  2023-10-30

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science, Social-Technical

  #emergence, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Stikstof – is het echt de landbouw?

  Net een erg leuk, inzichtelijk en compact boek gevonden over het Nederlandse Stikstof verhaal, waar ook Vlaanderen nog veel uit kan leren, en misschien zelfs kan handelen. Thomas Oudman heeft recent “Uit de Shit – Een pleidooi voor meer boeren en minder vee” gepubliceerd. Zijn betoog: Het kán: de stikstofcrisis oplossen en boeren perspectief geven.…

  walterstiers

  2023-09-12

  #sense-making, #stakeholder economy, #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• Paul Verhaeghe – Onbehagen

  “Onbehagen”, het recente boek van Paul Verhaeghe, is een meesterlijke studie van hoe onze cultuur en samenleving inwerken op ons geestelijk welbevindenOndanks de welvaart op alle vlakken heerst er een groot onbehagen in onze maatschappij. Dit gevoel is van alle tijden en maakt deel uit van ons mens-zijn. Paul Verhaeghe laat in dit boek zien…

  walterstiers

  2023-08-22

  #stakeholder economy, #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens