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  • The Wisdom of the Inner Crowd

    The quality of decisions depends on the accuracy of estimates of relevant quantities. According to the wisdom of crowds principle, accurate estimates can be obtained by combining the judgements of different individuals. This principle has been successfully applied to improve, for example, economic forecasts, medical judgements and meteorological predictions. Unfortunately, there are many situations in…

    walterstiers

    2022-12-09
    Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical
    #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind
  • HUMAN DEVELOPMENT REPORT 2021-22

    The latest Human Development Report, “Uncertain Times, Unsettled Lives: Shaping our Future in a Transforming World”, launched September 8 by UNDP, argues that layers of uncertainty are stacking up and interacting to unsettle life in unprecedented ways. The last two years have had a devastating impact for billions of people around the world, when crises…

    walterstiers

    2022-12-09
    Complexity, Life Ideas, Policy
    #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind
  • Wouter inspired me to (re)act

    The most valuable communication happens in informal and unpredictable ways. (Most organizational charts are an illusion…) Wouter,je uitspraak is zowel waar als relevant. De meeste bedrijven baseren zich nog steeds op de near-composability van H. Simon, een organisatiemodel dat werkt, maar alleen voor korte-termijn doelstellingen. Een bedrijf is  complexer dan wat near-composability kan aanreiken. “no…

    walterstiers

    2022-12-09
    #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical
    #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked
  • Can you spot the penguin?

    What about hiding a Rockhopper in a scientifically fascinating location? Thus was born the legend that is Leif Penguinson and the very first “Can you spot the penguin?”. Since that day, our penguin protagonist has travelled to dozens of scientifically interesting (and eye-poppingly beautiful) locations around the world. Many more are available on the site…

    walterstiers

    2022-12-07
    Creative Thinking, Walking
  • Prediction: multi-scale pattern completion of the future

    The notion of the brain as a prediction machine has been extremely influential and productive in cognitive sciences.One prominent framework is of a “Bayesian brain” that explicitly generates predictions and uses resultant errors to guide adaptation. The prediction-generation component of this framework may involve little more than a pattern completion process. Brain-like systems can get…

    walterstiers

    2022-12-07
    #Sensemaking, Active Inference, AI, Biology of Information, Neurobiology/psychology
    #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens
  • Over-reliance on English hinders

    Several studies report a ‘bilingual advantage’ for cognitive control: the ability to plan, focus, and execute a wide array of tasks is better among bilinguals compared with monolinguals, in particular among older adult bilinguals. Nonetheless, this bilingual advantage is not replicated consistently, as the effect is heavily modulated by task, age of participants, and bilingual…

    walterstiers

    2022-12-07
    Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Life Ideas, Science
    #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens
  • Designing Ecosystems of Intelligence from First Principles

    Karl Friston joins VERSES as Chief Scientist to Lead New Era in Artificial Intelligence.VERSES published its research paper to arxiv.org to explore the applications and implications of Active Inference on the future of Artificial Intelligence. “Designing Ecosystems of Intelligence from First Principles” lays out a vision of research and development in the field of artificial intelligence…

    walterstiers

    2022-12-07
    #Sensemaking, Active Inference, AI, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology
    #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens
  • Take your time to consider the possibilities and options

    Representations of possible actions pervade human high-level cognition, and shape how we plan, attribute causal responsibility, comprehend language, and make moral judgments.There are too many ‘possible actions’ for us to consider them all. Recent studies offer a strikingly convergent picture of how we call to mind a limited, useful set of possible actions to consider.This…

    walterstiers

    2022-12-07
    #Sensemaking, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology
    #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens
  • Kindness in Short Supply: Evidence for Inadequate Prosocial Input

    The social context we live in, has some complex, but important characteristics, and our well-being depends on the feedback we get. In the article Kindness in short supply: Evidence for inadequate prosocial input by Jennifer E.Abel, Preeti Vani, Nicole Abi-Esber, Hayley Blunden, Juliana Schroeder, the importance of kind feedback support is expressed. In summary: In…

    walterstiers

    2022-11-29
    #Sensemaking, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical
  • Statistical inference links data and theory in network science

    The number of network science applications across many different fields has been rapidly increasing. Surprisingly, the development of theory and domain-specific applications often occur in isolation, risking an effective disconnect between theoretical and methodological advances and the way network science is employed in practice. . In this work, we will focus on three intimately related…

    walterstiers

    2022-11-29
    Complexity, Information Technology, Science
    #TheInformationLens
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