Category: Decision Intelligence

• AI only sees the data trail, not the human story

  Cassie Kozyrkov just shared a great story: “AI only sees the data trail, not the human story“ AI only sees the past, not the future.AI only sees the pattern, not the purpose.AI only sees the data trail, not the human story.AI only sees compliance, not commitment.AI only sees keyword matches, not understanding.AI only sees what…

  walterstiers

  2025-02-19

  #Sensemaking, AI, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens

• Humans rationally balance abstract world models

  This work adds to a growing body of research showing that the brain arbitrates between approximate decision strategies. The current study extends these ideas from simple habits into usage of more sophisticated approximate predictive models, and demonstrates that individuals dynamically adapt these in response to the predictability of their environment. How do people model the…

  walterstiers

  2025-02-10

  Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, AI, artificial-intelligence, data-science, machine-learning, technology

• Is Ockham’s razor losing its edge?

  Is Ockham’s razor losing its edge? New perspectives on the principle of model parsimony The preference for simple explanations, known as the parsimony principle, has long guided the development of scientific theories, hypotheses, and models. Yet recent years have seen a number of successes in employing highly complex models for scientific inquiry (e.g., for 3D…

  walterstiers

  2025-01-28

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, AI, data-science, machine-learning, philosophy, Science

• A hidden Gem – Residuality

  Software architecture for a rapidly changing world – with Barry O’Reilly  describes the marvelous journey of Residues as an ‘Antifragile’ Software Architecture decision process (but also scalable to solution and Enterprise Architecture) Residuality theory is a revolutionary new theory of software design that aims to make it easier to design software systems for complex business…

  walterstiers

  2025-01-27

  #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Why probability probably doesn’t exist

  (but it is useful to act like it does) David Spiegelhalter All of statistics and much of science depends on probability — an astonishing achievement, considering no one’s really sure what it is. In our everyday world, probability probably does not exist — but it is often useful to act as if it does.— David…

  walterstiers

  2025-01-27

  #sense-making, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Practical Wisdom, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, probability, Science

• ostracism across contexts

  “Psychosocial and behavioural consequences of ostracism across contexts“ Ostracism (being ignored and excluded) thwarts basic psychological needs fundamental for human survival. As a painful experience, ostracism has various mental health, cognitive and behavioural consequences. In this Review, we outline the main psychosocial and behavioural consequences of ostracism and consider how these consequences might be unique…

  walterstiers

  2025-01-07

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• The unbearable slowness of being …

  The unbearable slowness of being: Why do we live at 10 bits/s? This article is about the neural conundrum behind the slowness of human behavior. The information throughput of a human being is about 10 bits/s. In comparison, our sensory systems gather data at ∼109 bits/s. The stark contrast between these numbers remains unexplained and touches…

  walterstiers

  2025-01-02

  #sense-making, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #Neuroscience, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, brain, health, mental-health, Science

• Deciding how to decide (urban infrastructure maintenance)

  “Deciding how to decide: A conceptual model for consensually fostering urban infrastructure maintenance” discusses infrastructure owners facing challenges in effective maintenance decision-making due to the process’s multidisciplinary nature, spanning mathematics to cognitive science. This study delves into enhancing maintenance for complex infrastructure systems, specifically in scenarios where a single primary owner must consider the preferences…

  walterstiers

  2024-12-17

  Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #DecisionIntelligence, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, business, decision-making, leadership, management, risk-management

• Contextualizing predictive minds

  “Contextualizing predictive minds” discusses how the structure of human memory seems to be optimized for efficient prediction, planning, and behavior. We propose that these capacities rely on a tripartite structure of memory that includes concepts, events, and contexts—three layers that constitute the mental world model. We suggest that the mechanism that critically increases adaptivity and…

  walterstiers

  2024-12-17

  #sense-making, Active Inference, AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology, Policy, Social-Technical

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, AI, artificial-intelligence, machine-learning, psychology

• The primacy of doubt

  “The Primacy of Doubt“, By Tim Palmer discusses topics from climate change to quantum physics, how the science of uncertainty can help predict and understand our chaotic world. Tim Palmer brings us his first foray into popular science writing with a carefully considered and often expert exposition on a vast range of subjects. The credo…

  walterstiers

  2024-12-02

  #sense-making, #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, chaos-theory, climate, Science, weather