Category: Decision Intelligence

• Adaptability and leaders

  “Leadership for organizational adaptability: A theoretical synthesis and integrative framework“One of the biggest challenges facing leaders today is the need to position and enable organizations and people for adaptability in the face of increasingly dynamic and demanding environments. Leadership for organizational adaptability is different from traditional leadership or leading change. It involves enabling the adaptive process…

  walterstiers

  2023-01-04

  #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Policy, Social-Technical

  #EconomicBehavior, #emergence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• Degrowth can work

  “The global economy is structured around growth — the idea that firms, industries and nations must increase production every year, regardless of whether it is needed. This dynamic is driving climate change and ecological breakdown. High-income economies, and the corporations and wealthy classes that dominate them, are mainly responsible for this problem and consume energy…

  walterstiers

  2022-12-12

  #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical

  #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy

• The Wisdom of the Inner Crowd

  The quality of decisions depends on the accuracy of estimates of relevant quantities. According to the wisdom of crowds principle, accurate estimates can be obtained by combining the judgements of different individuals. This principle has been successfully applied to improve, for example, economic forecasts, medical judgements and meteorological predictions. Unfortunately, there are many situations in…

  walterstiers

  2022-12-09

  Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind

• Wouter inspired me to (re)act

  The most valuable communication happens in informal and unpredictable ways. (Most organizational charts are an illusion…) Wouter,je uitspraak is zowel waar als relevant. De meeste bedrijven baseren zich nog steeds op de near-composability van H. Simon, een organisatiemodel dat werkt, maar alleen voor korte-termijn doelstellingen. Een bedrijf is  complexer dan wat near-composability kan aanreiken. “no…

  walterstiers

  2022-12-09

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Designing Ecosystems of Intelligence from First Principles

  Karl Friston joins VERSES as Chief Scientist to Lead New Era in Artificial Intelligence.VERSES published its research paper to arxiv.org to explore the applications and implications of Active Inference on the future of Artificial Intelligence. “Designing Ecosystems of Intelligence from First Principles” lays out a vision of research and development in the field of artificial intelligence…

  walterstiers

  2022-12-07

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, AI, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens

• Take your time to consider the possibilities and options

  Representations of possible actions pervade human high-level cognition, and shape how we plan, attribute causal responsibility, comprehend language, and make moral judgments.There are too many ‘possible actions’ for us to consider them all. Recent studies offer a strikingly convergent picture of how we call to mind a limited, useful set of possible actions to consider.This…

  walterstiers

  2022-12-07

  #Sensemaking, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• It all comes together in a perfect storm :: “Keep it Simple”

  Three different levels of information processing show a remarkable alignment. They all are guided by similar principles, which do map and overlap.Let me briefly summarize them: First:Active Inference , a sentient behaviour theory, builds on the free energy principle. FEP implies a coupling between the internal and external states of a system that is symmetric:…

  walterstiers

  2022-11-14

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, Active Inference, AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science, Social-Technical

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• Beliefs and Inference

  Beliefs are propositions about the true states of the world.Active inference—a process theory based on the free energy principle—describes how an agent forms and updates beliefs.The active inference framework posits that the agent (i) observes the world, (ii) infers the causes of the observations, and (iii) forms beliefs about the external states of the world.…

  walterstiers

  2022-11-07

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Conscious Body (&Mind) A lecture given by Deric

  Derics Brownds published a summary of a recent lecture on his website The start of the lecture is setting a very important message I’ve learned about work that has shown, in just the past 10-15 years, that much of what we thought we knew about how our minds work isn’t quite right, our commonsense notions,…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-25

  Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Technology readiness levels for machine learning systems

  The development and deployment of machine learning systems can be executed easily with modern tools, but the process is typically rushed and means-to-an-end. Lack of diligence can lead to technical debt, scope creep and misaligned objectives, model misuse and failures, and expensive consequences. Engineering systems, on the other hand, follow well-defined processes and testing standards…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-20

  AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI

• Statistics: Are you Bayesian or Frequentist?

  Cats bring success – they are ket part of the internet traffic and enjoyment. So let me show a great pic: The real purpose of the cats-pics (delivered by a dog person) is the great video and article from Cassie Kozyrkov What is the difference between Bayesian and Frequentist statistics? (demonstrated with one single coin…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-20

  Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Cynefin – Sensemaking

  Het Cynefin® framework werd als “sensemaking” door Dave Snowden ontwikkeld vanuit een natuur-wetenschappelijke insteek, met als een doel projecten te laten evolueren vanuit de bestaande toestand, en de mogelijke evoluties in te schatten, in plaats van een vooraf gedefinieerd einddoel te fixeren. Cynefin® is in wezen een beslissingsondersteunend kader (framework), geen methode of model.Het is…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Beslissen: FEP, AI, Bayes

  “We sample the world to ensure our predictions become a self-fulfilling prophecy.” Karl Friston De beslissingswetenschappen en neurowetenschappen werden recent verrijkt door het principe van vrije energie (Free Energy Principle / FEP) van Karl Friston. FEP is misschien wel het meest allesomvattende idee sinds de theorie van natuurlijke selectie van Charles Darwin. Samenvattend is het…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Uncategorized

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #FreeEnergyPriciple, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens

• Samenwerken als Ecosysteem

  De omschrijving ecosysteem voor een samenwerking kan misleidend zijn. De verschillende activiteiten die de deelnemers dienen uitvoeren, bestaat uit een stroom van informatie, beslissingen, acties, risico, voordelen en waarde, die bij een ecosysteem begrensd of toegeëigend kan worden aan ‘het ecosysteem’. (Zie hierbij ook het concept van FEP). Indien de vermelde stromen in essentie ruimer…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #Ecosystem, #TheInformationLens

• Samenwerking en Ecosystemen

  Deze aanpak van de meeste contracten bestaat uit het uitbesteden van opdrachten zonder bijzondere aandacht aan gestructureerd overlegorganen voor gemeenschappelijke beslissingen. Deze werkwijze is terug te voeren op een inzicht in de geschiedenis van “Near-Decomposability”.Herbert Simon is een van de iconen van Near-Composability, een beheer- en bestuur methodologie, die grondig uitgewerkt is een veelvoud management-methodes.…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Long live the Queen (he/his)

  The red queen is well knwon, and drives our current economic thinking (too much). I’ve already mentioned the fact of a long history of this theory of ‘Red Queen’ among evolutionary disciplines. There are alternatives, like ‘niche construct’ or ‘White Queen’ , more related to ideas like “commons“, based on ‘survival of the fittest’, in stead of ‘.. of…

  walterstiers

  2022-09-15

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Rethinking Computational Approaches to the Mind

  Rethinking Computational Approaches to the Mind Fundamental Challenges and Future Perspectives One-day Online Symposium21st October 2022 REGISTER HERE This one-day online event will bring together researchers with expertise in various areas such as complexity science, machine learning & artificial intelligence, information theory & data science, as well as computational/theoretical neuroscience & philosophy to explore different computational approaches…

  walterstiers

  2022-09-08

  #Sensemaking, AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Begin with the decision-maker

  I enjoyed the article “The first step in AI might surprise you” on AI, ML, Data Science from Cassie so much, I decided to steal some quotes: Leaders, figure out who’s calling the shots. If it’s you, then let’s designate you “The Decision-Maker“ for this project. Otherwise, delegate the position to someone else and ask them to read the…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-31

  #Sensemaking, AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind

• The Learning Power of Listening

  Sensemaking is related to the mapping and understanding of entangled complex situations and deciding upon the first best move. This all is best observed through stories and story-telling analysis, like the Cynefin Sensemaker. Oxfam just relesed a great guide “The Learning Power of Listening Practical guidance for using SenseMaker“, showing their use of the method…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-04

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Policy making and governance of complex projects

  A very interesting use of this sensemaking appporach towards the governance and policymaking is suggested by a great inspiring work towards the policy making and governance of complex projects is the recent publication from JRC Knowledge For Policy: Supporting policy with scientific evidence Competences for policymaking, Competence frameworks for policymakers and researchers working on public policy. I appreciate the competence…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-04

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Supporting sensemaking and decisions with scientific evidence

  If you have the opportunity to work on a complex problem, including change at the technical, organizational and governance/policy level of a rather complicated environment, you can considered to be lucky to start with the insights from the Cynefin farmework, developed by Dave Snowden. Recent evolution of this framework include “Entanglement“, liminality and the great…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-03

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Information Technology, Neurobiology/psychology, Policy, Science, Social-Technical, Uncategorized

  #ActiveInference, #Cynefin, #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #Sensemaking, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• David – Big Ideas

  “Big ideas come from the unconscious. This is true in art, in science and in advertising. But your unconscious has to be well informed, or your idea will be irrelevant. Stuff your conscious mind with information, then unhook your rational thought process. You can help this process by going for a long walk, or taking…

  walterstiers

  2022-07-27

  Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Life Ideas

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Who does (not) decide – about decisions & data

  Decision-driven data I like data-driven decisions, but I like decision-driven data more. Decision-driven data is what you get when: Tech founders make a decision about– what kind of data to collect and NOT to collect Tech owners make a decision about– what kind of data to use and NOT to use Tech users make a…

  walterstiers

  2022-07-26

  Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Exploite to explore mentation while growing old

  Changes in cognition, affect, and brain function combine to promote a shift in the nature of mentation in older adulthood, favoring exploitation of prior knowledge over exploratory search as the starting point for thought and action. In humans, the exploration versus exploitation trade-off has been extensively studied in young adults. Yet there is growing evidence that the determinants and…

  walterstiers

  2022-07-03

  Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #Ecosystem, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens