Category: #Sensemaking

• Bayesian model: prior–cost

  Sohna and Jazayeri discuss in “Validating model-based Bayesian integration using prior–cost metamers” the two competing views on how humans make decisions under uncertainty. Bayesian decision theory (BDT) posits that humans optimize their behavior by establishing and integrating internal models of past sensory experiences (priors) and decision outcomes (cost functions). An alternative hypothesis posits that decisions…

  walterstiers

  2024-02-02

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Representation of priors and decisions

  The PLOS article by Marshall, Ruesseler, Hunt, O’Reilly “representation of priors and decisions in the human parietal cortex” discusses how both humans and animals actively sample the environment using their sensory organs, far from being passive recipients of sensory information. In rodents, active sampling processes include whisking and sniffing; in primates, the most important and…

  walterstiers

  2024-02-02

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #Neuroscience, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked, articles, memory, philosophy, Science

• It Takes Two To Think

  The title refers to the recent article by Yanai & Lercher. (Itai Yanai is a Professor at the NYU School of Medicine. Martin Lercher is Professor at Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf at both the Institute for Computer Science and the Department of Biology. ) At the heart of science is a creative ‘night science‘ process,…

  walterstiers

  2024-01-09

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Governing the economics of the common good

  To meet today’s grand challenges, economics requires an understanding of how common objectives may be collaboratively set and met. Tied to the assumption that the state can, at best, fix market failures and is always at risk of “capture”, economic theory has been unable to offer such a framework. To move beyond such limiting assumptions,…

  walterstiers

  2024-01-08

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Life Ideas, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• Models .. Right or Wrong:

  Often attributed to John Maynard Keynes, but the rooted elsewhere: “It is better to be vaguely right than exactly wrong.” Carveth Read, “Logic: Deductive and Inductive” 4th edition -1920, p.351 You all have probably heard the story about Malcolm Forbes, who once got lost floating for miles in one of his famous balloons and finally…

  walterstiers

  2024-01-07

  #Sensemaking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Expert Predictions Fail …

  “When expert predictions fail“ examines the opportunities and challenges of expert judgment in the social sciences, scrutinizing the way social scientists make predictions. While social scientists show above-chance accuracy in predicting laboratory-based phenomena, they often struggle to predict real-world societal changes. Most causal models used in social sciences are oversimplified, confuse levels of analysis to which…

  walterstiers

  2024-01-05

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Neurobiology/psychology, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Yes, it is an ART; but it leads tot non-decisions

  Anthony Judge 2021 blog on “The art of non-decision-making” identifies 14 aspects of the art of non-decision-making based on experiences serving in, and observing, a range of international organisations. 1. Definitional games: This is the process of defining categories in one way in one document or organizational unit, and then defining them in another way…

  walterstiers

  2023-11-23

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Toekomstbeelden om op te bouwen

  In tijden waarin er veel verandert is het nodig om de flexibiliteit en hetaanpassingsvermogen van de samenleving en het landschap waarinwe leven te vergroten. Om problemen op te lossen die in recente decennia zijn veroorzaakt kunnen de oplossingen uit die tijd niet langer gebruikt worden, juist omdat ze aan de bron staan van de problemen…

  walterstiers

  2023-11-23

  #Sensemaking, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Policy, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• “don’t hate the players, change the game” – The dark side of competition in AI

  Competition. It’s a fundamental part of human nature. […] When it’s done right, it can drive us to incredible feats in sports and innovation, […] healthy competition, because even though individual companies might come and go, in the long run, the game between them creates win-win outcomes where everyone benefits in the end. But sometimes…

  walterstiers

  2023-11-21

  #Sensemaking, AI, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #TheInformationLens

• Interoception and Active Inference for mental health

  Interoception refers to the process by which the nervous system senses and integrates signals originating from within the body, providing a momentary mapping of the body’s internal landscape and its relationship to the outside world. Active inference is based on the premise that afferent sensory input to the brain is constantly shaped and modified by…

  walterstiers

  2023-11-17

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Human society is currently undergoing a socio-cultural ETI

  An evolutionary transition in individuality (ETI) occurs when a previously independent organism becomes a lower level unit within a higher hierarchical level (for example, cells in an organism, ants in a colony). Based on archaeological and historical accounts from the last 12000 years, this article “Human societal development: is it an evolutionary transition in individuality?”…

  walterstiers

  2023-11-16

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Biology of Information, Complexity, Life Ideas, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #StakeholderEconomy

• The Future of Artificial Intelligence by Melanie Mitchell

  AI is all around us recognizing our faces in photos, transcribing our speech, constructing our news feeds, navigating our driving routes, answering our search queries, and much more. But rapidly improving AI is poised to play a much bigger role in all of our lives. In this lecture, AI expert Melanie Mitchell demystifies how current-day…

  walterstiers

  2023-11-16

  #Sensemaking, AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• EXplore-versus-EXploit problems

  Trade-offs between producing costly movements for gathering information (‘explore’) and using previously acquired information to achieve a goal (‘exploit’) arise in a wide variety of problems, including foraging, reinforcement learning and sensorimotor control. Determining the optimal balance between exploration and exploitation is computationally intractable, necessitating heuristic solutions. In “Mode switching in organisms for solving explore-versus-exploit…

  walterstiers

  2023-10-31

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #emergence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Conceptual Bootstrapping (human cognition)

  To tackle a hard problem, it is often wise to reuse and recombine existing knowledge. Such an ability to bootstrap enables us to grow rich mental concepts despite limited cognitive resources. This article presents a computational model of conceptual bootstrapping. This model uses a dynamic conceptual repertoire that can cache and later reuse elements of…

  walterstiers

  2023-10-31

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Information Technology, Neurobiology/psychology

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• How adults understand what young children say

  When babies first begin to talk, their vocabulary is very limited. Often one of the first sounds they generate is “da,” which may refer to dad, a dog, a dot, or nothing at all. How does an adult listener make sense of this limited verbal repertoire? A new study “How adults understand what young children…

  walterstiers

  2023-10-30

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Cognitive distortions in recent decades

  Cognitive distortions are thinking patterns that are strongly associated with internalizing disorders such as depression and anxiety. Historical traces of in millions of books published over the course of the last two centuries in English, Spanish, and German show a pronounced “hockey stick” pattern: Over the past two decades the textual analogs of cognitive distortions…

  walterstiers

  2023-10-30

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science, Social-Technical

  #emergence, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Puzzled …? – Consider the Bayesian brain hypothesis!

  Dysfunctional breathing disorder(s) (DBD) is an umbrella term for a set of poorly distinguishable clinical conditions including the most emblematic and anciently known hyperventilation syndrome. DBD affects in a variable proportion (between 5 and 35%) both adults and children, with a highly negative impact on health-related quality of life. DBD is consensually considered as a…

  walterstiers

  2023-10-30

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #ActiveInference, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• ART CONNECTS ALL THE DOTS : Ride your upside Horse – Harvey Seifter

  Herbert Seifter is known for his experiences with the Orpheus Chamber Orchestra, as a proof of management and leadership excellence of being the world first conductor-less Orchestra. Here I would like to refer to a recent TED talk , where he extends the idea:. … so I learned a ton of things during my time…

  walterstiers

  2023-10-18

  #Sensemaking, Creative Thinking, Life Ideas

  #TheInformationLens

• The Escape from Poverty

  Breaking the Vicious Cycles Perpetuating Disadvantage The perpetuation of poverty across generations damages lives. Drawing on a wide variety of sources and academic disciplines, along with lived experiences, this book examines why poverty is continued across generations and what needs to be done to eradicate it. This book – available for download – draws on…

  walterstiers

  2023-10-18

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind

• Evolution of cognitive biases

  Peter S. Park published a very interesting research on decisions and inference: “The evolution of cognitive biases in human learning”. Some text snippets I like to share: Cognitive biases like underinference, the hard-easy effect, and recurrently non-monotonic confidence are evolutionarily puzzling when viewed as persistent flaws in how people learn from environmental feedback. To explain…

  walterstiers

  2023-09-04

  #sense-making, #Sensemaking, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• TAP – The Adjecent Possible

  From the astonishing evolutionary advances of the Cambrian explosion to our present-day computing revolution, the trend of dramatic growth after periods of stability can be explained through the theory of the “adjacent possible,” says theoretical biologist Stuart Kauffman. Tracing the arc of human history through the tools and technologies we’ve invented, he explains the impact…

  walterstiers

  2023-08-29

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Complexity, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #TheInformationLens

• Humor – Filosofie

  “Een kleine filosofie van de humor” door de Zwitserse filosoof Yves Bossart neemt ons mee op een even reis door de wereld van de humor. Volgens Ludwig Wittgenstein is humor geen stemming, maar een heuse levenshouding. Humor ontregelt én stelt ons in staat om enige afstand te nemen en zaken ter discussie te stellen. Umberto Eco…

  walterstiers

  2023-08-22

  #Sensemaking, Creative Thinking, Life Ideas

  #TheInformationLens

• Wicked7 – looking for “Regenerative” solution

  12 jul 2022, TedX@Athens. Christian Sarkar makes bold statements: Globalization has failed. Income inequality has exploded. COVID hasn’t disappeared yet. And War is at the gate. What can be done in your neighborhood, in your city? We learn the lessons of regeneration from Palermo, Sicily – and the (website and) book by Christian Sarkar, Philip…

  walterstiers

  2023-08-10

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Life Ideas, Policy, Sustainability, Uncategorized

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• What Do I Do …

  Michael Levin (@drmichaellevin) is a scientist at Tufts University; his lab studies anatomical and behavioral decision-making at multiple scales of biological, artificial, and hybrid systems. Today, Michael posted 2 simple flowcharts, worthwhile sharing. “Many thoughtful people get destabilized by deep questions of science & philosophy – what are the implications for how to live life?…

  walterstiers

  2023-07-17

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Life Ideas, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens