Tag: #Uncertainty

• future of work & self-determination theory

  Self-determination theory has shaped our understanding of what optimizes workermotivation by providing insights into how work context influences basic psychological needs for competence, autonomy and relatedness. As technological innovations change the nature of work, self-determination theory can provide insight into how the resulting uncertainty and interdependence might influence worker motivation, performance and well-being. The Review…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-31

  #Wicked, Complexity, Design Thinking, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• Will it ever happen?

  Evolution of Brains and Computers: The Roads Not Taken – Can machines ever achieve true intelligence? , is a perspective article in entropy by Ricard Solé and Luís F. Seoane, has a great discussion on intelligence. When computers started to become a dominant part of technology around the 1950s, fundamental questions about reliable designs and…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-17

  #Wicked, Active Inference, AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• Metacognition accompanying decision-making

  Decision-making is usually accompanied by metacognition, through which a decision maker monitors uncertainty regarding a decision and may then consequently revise the decision. These metacognitive processes can occur prior to or in the absence of feedback. The neural mechanisms of metacognition remain controversial. A novel “decision–redecision” paradigm to investigate the neural metacognitive processes involved in…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-17

  #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Digital Twins: Societies are not machines, & optimization is a too narrow approach

  I already did mention the importance of VVUQ when considering operational digital twins. More elaborated is the work from teh ETH Zurich team (Dirk Helbing & Javier Argota Sánchez-Vaquerizo), Digital Twins: Potentials, Limitations, and Ethical Issues. Rather than aiming for perfect digital twins, a predictable future, and total control, one should use computer simulation technology…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-03

  AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DigitalTwin, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• Avoiding “Fake News” – also at old age – not as hard as one might think.

  Ryan C. Moore & Jeffrey T. Hancock just published “A digital media literacy intervention for older adults improves resilience to fake news”. This article gives promising news on the awareness and actions one can to avoid fake news and misconceptions. The intervention was a 1-hour, self-directed series of interactive modules designed to teach concepts and…

  walterstiers

  2022-04-19

  Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Social-Technical

  #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Characteristics, potentials, and challenges of transdisciplinary research

  Resolving the grand challenges and wicked problems of the Anthropocene will require skillfully combining a broad range of knowledge and understandings—both scientific and non-scientific—of Earth systems and human societies. One approach to this is transdisciplinary research, which has gained considerable interest over the last few decades, resulting in an extensive body of literature about transdisciplinarity.…

  walterstiers

  2022-02-04

  #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Science, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• Complex Data and Models lead to Ascendency Analysis

  When making decisions, data might not be overlooked, nor the methodology to collect and interprete them. Especially in complex matteras as sustainability and circular economy, data, the collection and interpretation is key in helping our understanding and guiding our decisions. The EU JRC just published a great overview report on “Domestic Footprint of the EU…

  walterstiers

  2022-01-24

  Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

•  “Nocebo” calls for vaccination side effects.

  Most of the side effects that people experience after a COVID-19 vaccination can be blamed on the ‘nocebo’ effect. The nocebo effect is like the evil twin of the placebo effect — for example, it heightens pain if a person anticipates that something will hurt. Researchers reviewed 12 randomized clinical trials of COVID-19 vaccines and…

  walterstiers

  2022-01-19

  Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology

  #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• 9 out of 10 fail, but ACM and AIT might help… recalibrating/updating stress responsivity patterns

  Future-Proofing Startups: Stress Management Principles Based on Adaptive Calibration Model and Active Inference Theory Adaptive Calibration Model (ACM) and Active Inference Theory (AIT) are related to future-proofing startups. – ACM encompasses the allocation of energy by the stress response system to alternative options for action, depending upon individuals’ life histories and changing external contexts. –…

  walterstiers

  2021-12-29

  Active Inference, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• Break the wall of disciplines: Internal and external transformation for sustainability and climate

  The growing need to respond the quest for sustainability, raises the importance of good decision making. A great article just published, relates good sustainable decisioning to internal and external transformations needed. The authors propose an integrated model of change as an agenda and roadmap for future research, policy and practice. Some intersting text snippets: From…

  walterstiers

  2021-12-26

  #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Life Ideas, Sustainability, Uncategorized

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Biological thinking – BCG

  I want to share this BCG article on Biological Thinking, messy management for a complex world. Biological thinking matters for several important reasons: First, in complex adaptive systems, there is no single formula or framework that always works. In fact, the very defiance of formulaic problem solving is what makes CAS management so challenging initially.…

  walterstiers

  2021-07-18

  Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Six problem-solving mindsets for very uncertain times

  McKinsey has a nice article helping to solve undecidability under uncertainty.And since a picture is worth so many words: Six mutually reinforcing approaches underly their success: (1) being ever-curious about every element of a problem;Think of the never-ending “whys”. Natural human biases in decision making, including confirmation, availability, and anchoring biases, often cause us to shut down…

  walterstiers

  2021-07-05

  Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence

  #ProblemSolvingMind, #Uncertainty