Category: Decision Intelligence

• Risk and Uncertainty

  The core of this post comes from “How do smart people make smart decisions?” by Gerd Gigerenzer, delivered at TEDxNorrköping – available at https://youtube.com/watch?v=-Lg7G8TMe_A and a transcript available . However, there are more sources which lead to this insights, like e.g.: RISK VS UNCERTAINTY RISK: How should we make decisions when all relevant alternatives, consequences,…

  walterstiers

  2024-09-25

  #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Practical Wisdom, Social-Technical, Uncategorized

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Resilience may have downsides…

  Traditionally, resilience has been viewed as a general positive adaptation to stressors. However, the hallmark of resilience – returning to the previous state following a perturbation – may also have severe downsides, which are often overlooked. Specifically, it may be unrealistic to return to the previous state or resilience may cause a person to become…

  walterstiers

  2024-09-23

  Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #Neuroscience, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, mental-health, resilience, wellness

• practical wisdom in complex system management

  Leonie Hallo et al. published the research “Investigating practical wisdom in complex system management: What is it and how do we get more?“ Systems are now extremely complex with the continuous involvement of multiple stakeholders and rapidly advancing technology, and a new way of viewing high-performance system management and decision-making is needed.This paper considers the…

  walterstiers

  2024-09-11

  #Sensemaking, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Practical Wisdom, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, leadership, personal-development

• I Might As Well Be Happy

  The Korean best-seller If I’m Going to Live to One Hundred, I Might As Well Be Happy, is a “comforting, insightful, and surprisingly hilarious collection of life lessons” from retired psychiatrist and essayist Rhee Kun Hoo (이근후 1935-). He offers the wisdom he’s learned along the way on everything from forgiveness and regret to perseverance, letting…

  walterstiers

  2024-09-04

  #Sensemaking, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Three Orders and levels of Theorizing: unite in complexity …

  “A Pragmatist Approach to Complexity Theorizing in Project Studies: Orders and Levels”  offers pragmatist recommendations to develop strong theorizing strategies organized in a triad: 1. orders of theorizing (degree of recursiveness of the theorizing process), 2. levels of theorizing (interactions between micro, meso, and macro loci of analysis), and 3. the integration between orders and…

  walterstiers

  2024-08-20

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Values to Vision scenarios for bridging the gap.

  Some insights I would like to share from Uri Avin, Robert Goodspeed & Lily Murnen: From Exploratory Scenarios to Plans: Bridging the Gap. Many planners may be familiar with normative scenario planning. With roots in the tradition of utopian plans, normative scenario planning similarly seeks to create a scenario that describes a desirable vision for…

  walterstiers

  2024-08-20

  #Sensemaking, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Innovation Games, Policy, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Bayesian inference from the ground up

  Eric-Jan Wagenmakers and Dora Matzke developed a course book “Bayesian inference from the ground up: The theory of common sense” will be made freely available on their BayesianSpectacles website. Click here  to obtain the first 27 chapters and 4 appendix chapters. The website is full of interesting information, including the Let’s Poke a Pizza: A New…

  walterstiers

  2024-08-13

  Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• It’s the Biology, Stupid!

  “It’s the biology, stupid! Proxy failures in economic decision making” is a commentary by Pier Luigi Sacco (available here), on a work by Yohan J. John et.al.: “Dead rats, dopamine, performance metrics, and peacock tails: Proxy failure is an inherent risk in goal-oriented systems” (also available on ResearchGate) Where the “Dead rats, … peacock tails”…

  walterstiers

  2024-08-07

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• Insight –> selection of ideas

  “Insight and the selection of ideas” describes the mechanisms underlying Eureka heuristic, explained within an active inference framework.  Perhaps it is no accident that insight moments accompany some of humanity’s most important discoveries in science, medicine, and art. Here we propose that feelings of insight play a central role in (heuristically) selecting an idea from…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-30

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Science

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked, bayesian-inference, decision-making, heuristics, philosophy, psychology

• music and aging | Bayesian inference

  “Understanding music and aging through the lens of Bayesian inference“ Bayesian inference has recently gained momentum in explaining music perception and aging. A fundamental mechanism underlying Bayesian inference is the notion of prediction. This framework could explain how predictions pertaining to musical (melodic, rhythmic, harmonic) structures engender action, emotion, and learning, expanding related concepts of music…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-29

  Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens