Category: Decision Intelligence

• Bayesian inference from the ground up

  Eric-Jan Wagenmakers and Dora Matzke developed a course book “Bayesian inference from the ground up: The theory of common sense” will be made freely available on their BayesianSpectacles website. Click here  to obtain the first 27 chapters and 4 appendix chapters. The website is full of interesting information, including the Let’s Poke a Pizza: A New…

  walterstiers

  2024-08-13

  Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• It’s the Biology, Stupid!

  “It’s the biology, stupid! Proxy failures in economic decision making” is a commentary by Pier Luigi Sacco (available here), on a work by Yohan J. John et.al.: “Dead rats, dopamine, performance metrics, and peacock tails: Proxy failure is an inherent risk in goal-oriented systems” (also available on ResearchGate) Where the “Dead rats, … peacock tails”…

  walterstiers

  2024-08-07

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• Insight –> selection of ideas

  “Insight and the selection of ideas” describes the mechanisms underlying Eureka heuristic, explained within an active inference framework.  Perhaps it is no accident that insight moments accompany some of humanity’s most important discoveries in science, medicine, and art. Here we propose that feelings of insight play a central role in (heuristically) selecting an idea from…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-30

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Science

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked, bayesian-inference, decision-making, heuristics, philosophy, psychology

• music and aging | Bayesian inference

  “Understanding music and aging through the lens of Bayesian inference“ Bayesian inference has recently gained momentum in explaining music perception and aging. A fundamental mechanism underlying Bayesian inference is the notion of prediction. This framework could explain how predictions pertaining to musical (melodic, rhythmic, harmonic) structures engender action, emotion, and learning, expanding related concepts of music…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-29

  Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

•  The Edge of Sentience

  “The Edge of Sentience: Risk and Precaution in Humans, Other Animals, and AI.” by Jonathan Birch Can octopuses feel pain and pleasure? What about crabs, shrimps, insects, or spiders? How do we tell whether a person unresponsive after severe brain injury might be suffering? When does a fetus in the womb start to have conscious experiences?…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-29

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked, AI, artificial-intelligence, consciousness, sentience

• Lead with purpose, govern in partnership

  Also by  Professor Mazzucato from the IIPP: “MISSION CRITICAL 01 Statecraft for the 21st century“ This research draws on expert interviews and builds out from the seminal work of author Professor Mariana Mazzucato at the UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose (IIPP). She has established clear criteria for missions (Mazzucato, 2019) and made the case for mission-oriented government (Mazzucato,…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-15

  #sense-making, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, economy, government

• Countries must decide what missions can help direct their economies.

  Industrial strategy is experiencing a renaissance. Getting the details right matter. Mission-oriented industrial strategy needs to be more than words if we want to avoid missions becoming part of the problem, not the solution. This report (Mission-oriented industrial strategy: global insights) is based on research conducted over the past several years, led by Professor Mazzucato and…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-15

  #sense-making, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Policy, Science, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, business, economy, leadership, management

• Market forces are not enough to halt climate change

  A very interesting opinion has been published a while ago in the FT: “Market forces are not enough to halt climate change“ I like to repeat the quote used in the “Nature Anthropocene briefing of July 5“, with following comments:The desire for financial returns will mean that fossil fuels continue to be good investments, thus…

  walterstiers

  2024-07-07

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• When liars are considered honest

  When honesty relies on sincerity rather than accuracy People in liberal democracies value honesty in their politicians and prioritize honesty over ‘delivering the goods’. How can serial liars be considered honest? This conundrum can be approached from a variety of angles. Here we apply the lens of recent theoretical work that has identified distinct subjective…

  walterstiers

  2024-05-24

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Policy, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, honesty, trust, truth

• Shifting attention

  The Internal Dominance over External Attention (IDEA) hypothesis (I referred to earlier) asserts, contrary to the traditional view of attention as being primarily externally oriented, that attention is inherently biased toward internal information. A related work on attention switching has been published: “Shifting attention between perception and working memory“ Most everyday tasks require shifting the…

  walterstiers

  2024-05-24

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens