Category: Decision Intelligence

• Technology readiness levels for machine learning systems

  The development and deployment of machine learning systems can be executed easily with modern tools, but the process is typically rushed and means-to-an-end. Lack of diligence can lead to technical debt, scope creep and misaligned objectives, model misuse and failures, and expensive consequences. Engineering systems, on the other hand, follow well-defined processes and testing standards…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-20

  AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI

• Statistics: Are you Bayesian or Frequentist?

  Cats bring success – they are ket part of the internet traffic and enjoyment. So let me show a great pic: The real purpose of the cats-pics (delivered by a dog person) is the great video and article from Cassie Kozyrkov What is the difference between Bayesian and Frequentist statistics? (demonstrated with one single coin…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-20

  Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Cynefin – Sensemaking

  Het Cynefin® framework werd als “sensemaking” door Dave Snowden ontwikkeld vanuit een natuur-wetenschappelijke insteek, met als een doel projecten te laten evolueren vanuit de bestaande toestand, en de mogelijke evoluties in te schatten, in plaats van een vooraf gedefinieerd einddoel te fixeren. Cynefin® is in wezen een beslissingsondersteunend kader (framework), geen methode of model.Het is…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Beslissen: FEP, AI, Bayes

  “We sample the world to ensure our predictions become a self-fulfilling prophecy.” Karl Friston De beslissingswetenschappen en neurowetenschappen werden recent verrijkt door het principe van vrije energie (Free Energy Principle / FEP) van Karl Friston. FEP is misschien wel het meest allesomvattende idee sinds de theorie van natuurlijke selectie van Charles Darwin. Samenvattend is het…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Uncategorized

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #FreeEnergyPriciple, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens

• Samenwerken als Ecosysteem

  De omschrijving ecosysteem voor een samenwerking kan misleidend zijn. De verschillende activiteiten die de deelnemers dienen uitvoeren, bestaat uit een stroom van informatie, beslissingen, acties, risico, voordelen en waarde, die bij een ecosysteem begrensd of toegeëigend kan worden aan ‘het ecosysteem’. (Zie hierbij ook het concept van FEP). Indien de vermelde stromen in essentie ruimer…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #Ecosystem, #TheInformationLens

• Samenwerking en Ecosystemen

  Deze aanpak van de meeste contracten bestaat uit het uitbesteden van opdrachten zonder bijzondere aandacht aan gestructureerd overlegorganen voor gemeenschappelijke beslissingen. Deze werkwijze is terug te voeren op een inzicht in de geschiedenis van “Near-Decomposability”.Herbert Simon is een van de iconen van Near-Composability, een beheer- en bestuur methodologie, die grondig uitgewerkt is een veelvoud management-methodes.…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Long live the Queen (he/his)

  The red queen is well knwon, and drives our current economic thinking (too much). I’ve already mentioned the fact of a long history of this theory of ‘Red Queen’ among evolutionary disciplines. There are alternatives, like ‘niche construct’ or ‘White Queen’ , more related to ideas like “commons“, based on ‘survival of the fittest’, in stead of ‘.. of…

  walterstiers

  2022-09-15

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Rethinking Computational Approaches to the Mind

  Rethinking Computational Approaches to the Mind Fundamental Challenges and Future Perspectives One-day Online Symposium21st October 2022 REGISTER HERE This one-day online event will bring together researchers with expertise in various areas such as complexity science, machine learning & artificial intelligence, information theory & data science, as well as computational/theoretical neuroscience & philosophy to explore different computational approaches…

  walterstiers

  2022-09-08

  #Sensemaking, AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Begin with the decision-maker

  I enjoyed the article “The first step in AI might surprise you” on AI, ML, Data Science from Cassie so much, I decided to steal some quotes: Leaders, figure out who’s calling the shots. If it’s you, then let’s designate you “The Decision-Maker“ for this project. Otherwise, delegate the position to someone else and ask them to read the…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-31

  #Sensemaking, AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind

• The Learning Power of Listening

  Sensemaking is related to the mapping and understanding of entangled complex situations and deciding upon the first best move. This all is best observed through stories and story-telling analysis, like the Cynefin Sensemaker. Oxfam just relesed a great guide “The Learning Power of Listening Practical guidance for using SenseMaker“, showing their use of the method…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-04

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Policy making and governance of complex projects

  A very interesting use of this sensemaking appporach towards the governance and policymaking is suggested by a great inspiring work towards the policy making and governance of complex projects is the recent publication from JRC Knowledge For Policy: Supporting policy with scientific evidence Competences for policymaking, Competence frameworks for policymakers and researchers working on public policy. I appreciate the competence…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-04

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Supporting sensemaking and decisions with scientific evidence

  If you have the opportunity to work on a complex problem, including change at the technical, organizational and governance/policy level of a rather complicated environment, you can considered to be lucky to start with the insights from the Cynefin farmework, developed by Dave Snowden. Recent evolution of this framework include “Entanglement“, liminality and the great…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-03

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Information Technology, Neurobiology/psychology, Policy, Science, Social-Technical, Uncategorized

  #ActiveInference, #Cynefin, #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #Sensemaking, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• David – Big Ideas

  “Big ideas come from the unconscious. This is true in art, in science and in advertising. But your unconscious has to be well informed, or your idea will be irrelevant. Stuff your conscious mind with information, then unhook your rational thought process. You can help this process by going for a long walk, or taking…

  walterstiers

  2022-07-27

  Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Life Ideas

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Who does (not) decide – about decisions & data

  Decision-driven data I like data-driven decisions, but I like decision-driven data more. Decision-driven data is what you get when: Tech founders make a decision about– what kind of data to collect and NOT to collect Tech owners make a decision about– what kind of data to use and NOT to use Tech users make a…

  walterstiers

  2022-07-26

  Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Exploite to explore mentation while growing old

  Changes in cognition, affect, and brain function combine to promote a shift in the nature of mentation in older adulthood, favoring exploitation of prior knowledge over exploratory search as the starting point for thought and action. In humans, the exploration versus exploitation trade-off has been extensively studied in young adults. Yet there is growing evidence that the determinants and…

  walterstiers

  2022-07-03

  Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #Ecosystem, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Are Dogs outsmarting human primates?

  I just love the intelligence of nature, behaving as a complex adaptive system, working with minimal effort to a beneficial solutions. As such, nature often behaves smarter than self-conscious human primates, without going into difficult reasoning and decision making processes. A great text putting this fact into evidence is the 2012 lecture “The dog and…

  walterstiers

  2022-06-24

  Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Enhancing human agency through redress in Artificial Intelligence Systems

  […] automation of workflows enabled by AI systems could even go as far as to challenge individual agency, autonomy and active mediation. It is paramount to not only scientifically but also empirically assess new ways to enable active human agency. In terms of policy, […] users lack the means and tools to exercise this agency in the…

  walterstiers

  2022-06-09

  AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #Wicked

• Where the senses fail us, reason must step in

  It is true that the unique human ability to reason is what allows for science, technology, and advanced problem-solving. But there are limitations to reason. Highly deliberative people tend to be less empathetic, are often perceived as less trustworthy and authentic, and can undermine their own influence. Ultimately, the supposed battle between head and heart is overblown.…

  walterstiers

  2022-06-02

  #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• task-related information and form functional networks encode both sensory input and behavioral choice.

  Cortical processing of task-relevant information enables recognition of behaviorally meaningful sensory events. How task-related information is represented within cortical networks by the activity of individual neurons and their functional interactions was investigates. A subset of neurons transiently encode sensory information used to inform behavioral choice. These neurons form functional networks in which information transmits sequentially.…

  walterstiers

  2022-06-02

  Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Fractal Organization

  A recent BCG article “The Organization of the Future Is Fractal” has a clear description of what John Seely Brown expresses as “we’ve moved from the age of enlightenment to the age of entanglement where sense-making aided by imagination is now more critical than ever.” Over the past 50 years or more, as the global…

  walterstiers

  2022-06-02

  #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Sustainability

  #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• Nos mythologies économiques

  Économie : la raison économique ou comment déconstruire les idées reçues Éloi Laurent est économiste à l’Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques. Pour lui le discours économique actuel est parcouru de fausses assertions, comme par exemple “la protection sociale est ce qui empêche la croissance économique”. Dans “La raison économique et ses monstres, volume 3”, il s’efforce de…

  walterstiers

  2022-06-02

  #stakeholder economy, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• Plan with “value-guided construal”

  When people plan, they do so by constructing a simplified mental representation of a problem that is sufficient to solve it—a process that we refer to as value-guided construal. An ideal, cognitively limited decision-maker should construe a task so as to balance complexity and utility. Preregistered predictions of this model explain people’s awareness, ability to…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-20

  #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• The Why, How, and When of Representations for Complex Systems

  Complex systems, composed at the most basic level of units and their interactions, describe phenomena in a wide variety of domains, from neuroscience to computer science and economics. The wide variety of applications has resulted in two key challenges: the generation of many domain-specific strategies for complex systems analyses that are seldom revisited, and the…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-20

  #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Will it ever happen?

  Evolution of Brains and Computers: The Roads Not Taken – Can machines ever achieve true intelligence? , is a perspective article in entropy by Ricard Solé and Luís F. Seoane, has a great discussion on intelligence. When computers started to become a dominant part of technology around the 1950s, fundamental questions about reliable designs and…

  walterstiers

  2022-05-17

  #Wicked, Active Inference, AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked