Tag: #DecisionIntelligence

• The Art of Abduction 

  Abductive reasoning typically begins with an incomplete set of observations and proceeds to the likeliest possible explanation for the set. Abductive reasoning yields the kind of daily decision-making that does its best with the information at hand, which often is incomplete. A medical diagnosis is an application of abductive reasoning: given this set of symptoms,…

  walterstiers

  2023-02-21

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Humans are keen to exploit benevolent AI

  Algorithm exploitation: Humans are keen to exploit benevolent AI: We cooperate with other people despite the risk of being exploited or hurt. If future artificial intelligence (AI) systems are benevolent and cooperative toward us, what will we do in return? Our cooperative dispositions are weaker when we interact with AI. Contrary to the hypothesis that…

  walterstiers

  2023-01-11

  AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #Analogy, #DecisionIntelligence, #EconomicBehavior, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens

• Develop or disrupt & team size

  “Large teams develop and small teams disrupt science and technology“Increases in team size have been attributed to the specialization of scientific activities, improvements in communication technology, or the complexity of modern problems that require interdisciplinary solutions. This shift in team size raises the question of whether and how the character of the science and technology…

  walterstiers

  2023-01-09

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Policy, Science, Social-Technical, Walking

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• ATTENTION: “What You Know is What You See.” & you can change both…

  Attending is a cognitive process that incorporates a person’s knowledge, goals, and expectations. What we perceive when we attend to one thing is different from what we perceive when we attend to something else. Yet, it is often argued that attentional effects do not count as evidence that perception is influenced by cognition. Two arguments…

  walterstiers

  2023-01-09

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Information Technology, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #Analogy, #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Intellectual humility

  Intellectual humility involves recognizing that there are gaps in one’s knowledge and that one’s current beliefs might be incorrect. For instance, someone might think that it is raining, but acknowledge that they have not looked outside to check and that the sun might be shining. Research on intellectual humility offers an intriguing avenue to safeguard…

  walterstiers

  2023-01-02

  Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind

• Language influences perception and concept formation

  A neurobiologically constrained model of semantic learning in the human brain was used to simulate the acquisition of concrete and abstract concepts, either with or without verbal labels. Concept acquisition and semantic learning were simulated using Hebbian learning mechanisms. The network’s category learning performance is defined as the extent to which it successfully: (i) grouped…

  walterstiers

  2023-01-02

  Information Technology, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence

• The Wisdom of the Inner Crowd

  The quality of decisions depends on the accuracy of estimates of relevant quantities. According to the wisdom of crowds principle, accurate estimates can be obtained by combining the judgements of different individuals. This principle has been successfully applied to improve, for example, economic forecasts, medical judgements and meteorological predictions. Unfortunately, there are many situations in…

  walterstiers

  2022-12-09

  Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind

• Wouter inspired me to (re)act

  The most valuable communication happens in informal and unpredictable ways. (Most organizational charts are an illusion…) Wouter,je uitspraak is zowel waar als relevant. De meeste bedrijven baseren zich nog steeds op de near-composability van H. Simon, een organisatiemodel dat werkt, maar alleen voor korte-termijn doelstellingen. Een bedrijf is  complexer dan wat near-composability kan aanreiken. “no…

  walterstiers

  2022-12-09

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, #Wicked, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Prediction: multi-scale pattern completion of the future

  The notion of the brain as a prediction machine has been extremely influential and productive in cognitive sciences.One prominent framework is of a “Bayesian brain” that explicitly generates predictions and uses resultant errors to guide adaptation. The prediction-generation component of this framework may involve little more than a pattern completion process. Brain-like systems can get…

  walterstiers

  2022-12-07

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, AI, Biology of Information, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Designing Ecosystems of Intelligence from First Principles

  Karl Friston joins VERSES as Chief Scientist to Lead New Era in Artificial Intelligence.VERSES published its research paper to arxiv.org to explore the applications and implications of Active Inference on the future of Artificial Intelligence. “Designing Ecosystems of Intelligence from First Principles” lays out a vision of research and development in the field of artificial intelligence…

  walterstiers

  2022-12-07

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, AI, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens

• Take your time to consider the possibilities and options

  Representations of possible actions pervade human high-level cognition, and shape how we plan, attribute causal responsibility, comprehend language, and make moral judgments.There are too many ‘possible actions’ for us to consider them all. Recent studies offer a strikingly convergent picture of how we call to mind a limited, useful set of possible actions to consider.This…

  walterstiers

  2022-12-07

  #Sensemaking, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• “decrease the mental-self-processing & a synchronization with the interoceptive and exteroceptive-self-processing”.

  I stated in a previous post the insight into our neurology of meditation, in order to attain our goal to keep it simple, but often fail to realize it. I already suggested, we need “to kill our darlings” in order to be open to the full context of the terrain we’re exposed to. A recent paper…

  walterstiers

  2022-11-28

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Only then we will be on the right track.

  This is more a kind of “look what is available for you all”,Open Acces and available as pdf download: Luiz Pessoa published his latest book “The Entangled Brain: How Perception, Cognition, and Emotion Are Woven Together” And, yes, the conclusion is very valuable: Ultimately, to explain the cognitive-emotional brain, we need to dissolve boundaries within the…

  walterstiers

  2022-11-15

  Biology of Information, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence

• It all comes together in a perfect storm :: “Keep it Simple”

  Three different levels of information processing show a remarkable alignment. They all are guided by similar principles, which do map and overlap.Let me briefly summarize them: First:Active Inference , a sentient behaviour theory, builds on the free energy principle. FEP implies a coupling between the internal and external states of a system that is symmetric:…

  walterstiers

  2022-11-14

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, Active Inference, AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science, Social-Technical

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• Beliefs and Inference

  Beliefs are propositions about the true states of the world.Active inference—a process theory based on the free energy principle—describes how an agent forms and updates beliefs.The active inference framework posits that the agent (i) observes the world, (ii) infers the causes of the observations, and (iii) forms beliefs about the external states of the world.…

  walterstiers

  2022-11-07

  #Sensemaking, Active Inference, Biology of Information, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Conscious Body (&Mind) A lecture given by Deric

  Derics Brownds published a summary of a recent lecture on his website The start of the lecture is setting a very important message I’ve learned about work that has shown, in just the past 10-15 years, that much of what we thought we knew about how our minds work isn’t quite right, our commonsense notions,…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-25

  Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Neurobiology/psychology, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Technology readiness levels for machine learning systems

  The development and deployment of machine learning systems can be executed easily with modern tools, but the process is typically rushed and means-to-an-end. Lack of diligence can lead to technical debt, scope creep and misaligned objectives, model misuse and failures, and expensive consequences. Engineering systems, on the other hand, follow well-defined processes and testing standards…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-20

  AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI

• Statistics: Are you Bayesian or Frequentist?

  Cats bring success – they are ket part of the internet traffic and enjoyment. So let me show a great pic: The real purpose of the cats-pics (delivered by a dog person) is the great video and article from Cassie Kozyrkov What is the difference between Bayesian and Frequentist statistics? (demonstrated with one single coin…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-20

  Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Cynefin – Sensemaking

  Het Cynefin® framework werd als “sensemaking” door Dave Snowden ontwikkeld vanuit een natuur-wetenschappelijke insteek, met als een doel projecten te laten evolueren vanuit de bestaande toestand, en de mogelijke evoluties in te schatten, in plaats van een vooraf gedefinieerd einddoel te fixeren. Cynefin® is in wezen een beslissingsondersteunend kader (framework), geen methode of model.Het is…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Beslissen: FEP, AI, Bayes

  “We sample the world to ensure our predictions become a self-fulfilling prophecy.” Karl Friston De beslissingswetenschappen en neurowetenschappen werden recent verrijkt door het principe van vrije energie (Free Energy Principle / FEP) van Karl Friston. FEP is misschien wel het meest allesomvattende idee sinds de theorie van natuurlijke selectie van Charles Darwin. Samenvattend is het…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Uncategorized

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #FreeEnergyPriciple, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens

• Samenwerken als Ecosysteem

  De omschrijving ecosysteem voor een samenwerking kan misleidend zijn. De verschillende activiteiten die de deelnemers dienen uitvoeren, bestaat uit een stroom van informatie, beslissingen, acties, risico, voordelen en waarde, die bij een ecosysteem begrensd of toegeëigend kan worden aan ‘het ecosysteem’. (Zie hierbij ook het concept van FEP). Indien de vermelde stromen in essentie ruimer…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #Ecosystem, #TheInformationLens

• Samenwerking en Ecosystemen

  Deze aanpak van de meeste contracten bestaat uit het uitbesteden van opdrachten zonder bijzondere aandacht aan gestructureerd overlegorganen voor gemeenschappelijke beslissingen. Deze werkwijze is terug te voeren op een inzicht in de geschiedenis van “Near-Decomposability”.Herbert Simon is een van de iconen van Near-Composability, een beheer- en bestuur methodologie, die grondig uitgewerkt is een veelvoud management-methodes.…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• How nature nurtures … as the result of a one-hour walk in nature

  I do stress the importance of walking for decision making, thinking and well-being in a variety of post.The latest article I just found suggest that going for a walk in nature can have salutogenic effects on stress-related brain regions, and consequently, it may act as a preventive measure against mental strain and potentially disease. Given rapidly…

  walterstiers

  2022-09-05

  #Sensemaking, Walking

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #WalkHealth, #Walking

• Begin with the decision-maker

  I enjoyed the article “The first step in AI might surprise you” on AI, ML, Data Science from Cassie so much, I decided to steal some quotes: Leaders, figure out who’s calling the shots. If it’s you, then let’s designate you “The Decision-Maker“ for this project. Otherwise, delegate the position to someone else and ask them to read the…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-31

  #Sensemaking, AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind