Author: walterstiers

• Technology readiness levels for machine learning systems

  The development and deployment of machine learning systems can be executed easily with modern tools, but the process is typically rushed and means-to-an-end. Lack of diligence can lead to technical debt, scope creep and misaligned objectives, model misuse and failures, and expensive consequences. Engineering systems, on the other hand, follow well-defined processes and testing standards…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-20

  AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI

• Statistics: Are you Bayesian or Frequentist?

  Cats bring success – they are ket part of the internet traffic and enjoyment. So let me show a great pic: The real purpose of the cats-pics (delivered by a dog person) is the great video and article from Cassie Kozyrkov What is the difference between Bayesian and Frequentist statistics? (demonstrated with one single coin…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-20

  Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Cynefin – Sensemaking

  Het Cynefin® framework werd als “sensemaking” door Dave Snowden ontwikkeld vanuit een natuur-wetenschappelijke insteek, met als een doel projecten te laten evolueren vanuit de bestaande toestand, en de mogelijke evoluties in te schatten, in plaats van een vooraf gedefinieerd einddoel te fixeren. Cynefin® is in wezen een beslissingsondersteunend kader (framework), geen methode of model.Het is…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Beslissen: FEP, AI, Bayes

  “We sample the world to ensure our predictions become a self-fulfilling prophecy.” Karl Friston De beslissingswetenschappen en neurowetenschappen werden recent verrijkt door het principe van vrije energie (Free Energy Principle / FEP) van Karl Friston. FEP is misschien wel het meest allesomvattende idee sinds de theorie van natuurlijke selectie van Charles Darwin. Samenvattend is het…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Uncategorized

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #emergence, #FreeEnergyPriciple, #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens

• Commons

  Garett Hardin 1 had – volgens velen – het laatste woord over de commons in zijn essay uit 1968, “The Tragedy of the Commons” 2.Aan de hand van het voorbeeld van grazende koeien betoogde hij dat iedereen die zijn eigen belang nastreeft altijd zou leiden tot overexploitatie van de gedeelde hulpbron. Elke winst die we…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  Uncategorized

• Samenwerken als Ecosysteem

  De omschrijving ecosysteem voor een samenwerking kan misleidend zijn. De verschillende activiteiten die de deelnemers dienen uitvoeren, bestaat uit een stroom van informatie, beslissingen, acties, risico, voordelen en waarde, die bij een ecosysteem begrensd of toegeëigend kan worden aan ‘het ecosysteem’. (Zie hierbij ook het concept van FEP). Indien de vermelde stromen in essentie ruimer…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #Ecosystem, #TheInformationLens

• Samenwerking en Ecosystemen

  Deze aanpak van de meeste contracten bestaat uit het uitbesteden van opdrachten zonder bijzondere aandacht aan gestructureerd overlegorganen voor gemeenschappelijke beslissingen. Deze werkwijze is terug te voeren op een inzicht in de geschiedenis van “Near-Decomposability”.Herbert Simon is een van de iconen van Near-Composability, een beheer- en bestuur methodologie, die grondig uitgewerkt is een veelvoud management-methodes.…

  walterstiers

  2022-10-11

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Wicked

• Long live the Queen (he/his)

  The red queen is well knwon, and drives our current economic thinking (too much). I’ve already mentioned the fact of a long history of this theory of ‘Red Queen’ among evolutionary disciplines. There are alternatives, like ‘niche construct’ or ‘White Queen’ , more related to ideas like “commons“, based on ‘survival of the fittest’, in stead of ‘.. of…

  walterstiers

  2022-09-15

  #Sensemaking, #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical, Sustainability

  #EconomicBehavior, #ProblemSolvingMind, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Inquisitive but not discerning

  Deprivation curiosity is associated with excessive openness to inaccurate information. New psychology research reveals a dark side of curiosity states: “highly deprivation curious people have an excessive openness to information. More deprivation curious people are more likely to see meaning in meaningless gibberish sentences, and they are more likely to entertain pretty blatant disinformation”. “So…

  walterstiers

  2022-09-10

  #Sensemaking, Complexity, Life Ideas, Science

  #ProblemSolvingMind

• Rethinking Computational Approaches to the Mind

  Rethinking Computational Approaches to the Mind Fundamental Challenges and Future Perspectives One-day Online Symposium21st October 2022 REGISTER HERE This one-day online event will bring together researchers with expertise in various areas such as complexity science, machine learning & artificial intelligence, information theory & data science, as well as computational/theoretical neuroscience & philosophy to explore different computational approaches…

  walterstiers

  2022-09-08

  #Sensemaking, AI, Biology of Information, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology, Science

  #HumanAI, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• How nature nurtures … as the result of a one-hour walk in nature

  I do stress the importance of walking for decision making, thinking and well-being in a variety of post.The latest article I just found suggest that going for a walk in nature can have salutogenic effects on stress-related brain regions, and consequently, it may act as a preventive measure against mental strain and potentially disease. Given rapidly…

  walterstiers

  2022-09-05

  #Sensemaking, Walking

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #WalkHealth, #Walking

• Begin with the decision-maker

  I enjoyed the article “The first step in AI might surprise you” on AI, ML, Data Science from Cassie so much, I decided to steal some quotes: Leaders, figure out who’s calling the shots. If it’s you, then let’s designate you “The Decision-Maker“ for this project. Otherwise, delegate the position to someone else and ask them to read the…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-31

  #Sensemaking, AI, Complexity, Decision Intelligence

  #ActiveInference, #DecisionIntelligence, #HumanAI, #ProblemSolvingMind

• Nice TED speech on capital psycho pathology

  I’ve been pointed to the great lecture Jon Ronson delivered at TED2012: “Strange answers to the psychopath test” It becomes very interesting and maybe even somewhat scary from minute 9. Some parts o the transcripts to get the idea: capitalism at its most ruthless rewards psychopathic behavior — the lack of empathy, the glibness, cunning, manipulative.  So, here’s…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-25

  #Sensemaking, Biology of Information, Complexity, Life Ideas, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty

• Walk The Thinking Path

  Software “tools for thought” can amplify your thinking, but sometimes the secret to a creative workflow is as low-tech as it gets: going for a stroll. This refers to the free edition of Adjacent Possible, a newsletter about innovation (and its discontents) from Steven Johnson. The blog refers to “On the Link Between Great Thinking and…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-09

  #Sensemaking, Creative Thinking, Life Ideas

  #ProblemSolvingMind

• The Learning Power of Listening

  Sensemaking is related to the mapping and understanding of entangled complex situations and deciding upon the first best move. This all is best observed through stories and story-telling analysis, like the Cynefin Sensemaker. Oxfam just relesed a great guide “The Learning Power of Listening Practical guidance for using SenseMaker“, showing their use of the method…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-04

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Decision Intelligence, Information Technology, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Policy making and governance of complex projects

  A very interesting use of this sensemaking appporach towards the governance and policymaking is suggested by a great inspiring work towards the policy making and governance of complex projects is the recent publication from JRC Knowledge For Policy: Supporting policy with scientific evidence Competences for policymaking, Competence frameworks for policymakers and researchers working on public policy. I appreciate the competence…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-04

  #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Life Ideas, Policy, Social-Technical

  #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Supporting sensemaking and decisions with scientific evidence

  If you have the opportunity to work on a complex problem, including change at the technical, organizational and governance/policy level of a rather complicated environment, you can considered to be lucky to start with the insights from the Cynefin farmework, developed by Dave Snowden. Recent evolution of this framework include “Entanglement“, liminality and the great…

  walterstiers

  2022-08-03

  #Cynefin, #Sensemaking, #Wicked, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Information Technology, Neurobiology/psychology, Policy, Science, Social-Technical, Uncategorized

  #ActiveInference, #Cynefin, #DecisionIntelligence, #ProblemSolvingMind, #Sensemaking, #TheInformationLens, #Uncertainty, #Wicked

• David – Big Ideas

  “Big ideas come from the unconscious. This is true in art, in science and in advertising. But your unconscious has to be well informed, or your idea will be irrelevant. Stuff your conscious mind with information, then unhook your rational thought process. You can help this process by going for a long walk, or taking…

  walterstiers

  2022-07-27

  Biology of Information, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Design Thinking, Life Ideas

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Who does (not) decide – about decisions & data

  Decision-driven data I like data-driven decisions, but I like decision-driven data more. Decision-driven data is what you get when: Tech founders make a decision about– what kind of data to collect and NOT to collect Tech owners make a decision about– what kind of data to use and NOT to use Tech users make a…

  walterstiers

  2022-07-26

  Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Effective Leaders Decide About Deciding

  Effective Leaders Decide About Deciding talsks about a convoluted decision-making processes wasting time. Respondents to a 2018 McKinsey survey, for instance, said they spent 37% of their time making decisions, on average — and they estimated that more than half that time was spent ineffectively. On the other hand, delegating decisions and trusting the people you’ve handed them…

  walterstiers

  2022-07-11

  Uncategorized

• The curse of knowledge

  Experts are poorer communicators in their own domain than nonexperts, MIT Sloan’s Miro Kazakoff says, and he offers ways to reverse that curse. “One of the critical challenges of professional communication is to recognize and internalize the variety of ways that people decode things,” “When we see a pattern or recognize something or know something,…

  walterstiers

  2022-07-11

  #Wicked, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Science

  #DecisionIntelligence, #TheInformationLens

• Exploite to explore mentation while growing old

  Changes in cognition, affect, and brain function combine to promote a shift in the nature of mentation in older adulthood, favoring exploitation of prior knowledge over exploratory search as the starting point for thought and action. In humans, the exploration versus exploitation trade-off has been extensively studied in young adults. Yet there is growing evidence that the determinants and…

  walterstiers

  2022-07-03

  Active Inference, Biology of Information, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Decision Intelligence, Life Ideas, Neurobiology/psychology

  #DecisionIntelligence, #Ecosystem, #ProblemSolvingMind, #TheInformationLens

• Need for radical reshape

  Capitalism ain’t working. Does it need just another (again!) ‘fix’ or a radical reshape? The latter.“This economist has a plan to fix capitalism. It’s time we all listened” Governments must collaborate with private sector Mission Economy: A Moonshot Guide to Changing Capitalism by Mariana Mazzucato

  walterstiers

  2022-06-30

  #stakeholder economy, Complexity, Creative Thinking, Life Ideas

  #EconomicBehavior, #StakeholderEconomy, #TheInformationLens

• Offline memory consolidation during waking rest

  People spend approximately half of their waking hours in a so- called offline state — daydreaming, mind wandering or otherwise inattentive to their surroundings. These activities are often viewed as a waste of time, perhaps as moments of lost productivity. However, periods of offline waking rest can facilitate the consolidation of newly formed memories. Even…

  walterstiers

  2022-06-25

  Biology of Information, Neurobiology/psychology, Science